Orlando City vs Columbus Crew Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Always on the scoresheet

Orlando City scored in all of their last 10 (league 21% fail to score).

0/10Failed to score · Orlando City
Bookmakers: Orlando City 45% to winColumbus Crew 31%

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew score prediction

Major League Soccer

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.4 goals in total, a little over the Major League Soccer average of 3.2.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Orlando City vs Columbus Crew: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Orlando City to win

Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.6% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 37%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,173 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.2%).

Orlando City Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Orlando City 0–1 goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 1,821 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.

Columbus Crew Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Columbus Crew 0–1 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,565 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Orlando City vs Columbus Crew. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Orlando CityOrlando City–
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew–

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

142%
X23%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Orlando City24%76%53%47%
Columbus Crew30%70%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Orlando City78%22%92%8%
Columbus Crew81%19%93%7%

1st Half

130%
X37%
233%

1st Score

148%
X4%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

22%

X-1

14%

X-X

12%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

4%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

2-1

8.8%

1-2

7.7%

1-0

7.6%

2-2

6.2%

2-0

6.1%

0-1

6.0%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.5%

0-0

4.4%

1-3

4.0%

2-3

3.7%

3-2

3.6%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew: the stats that stand out

Major League Soccer

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Orlando City: always on the scoresheet and always chasing

Always on the scoresheet
Orlando City0/10

Orlando City scored in all of their last 10 (league 21% fail to score).

Always chasing
Orlando City7/10

Orlando City conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew: attack vs defence

Major League Soccer

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Orlando CityOrlando City: good attack, weak defence (1.64 xG, 1.74 xGA a game)
  • Columbus CrewColumbus Crew: weak attack, good defence (1.21 xG, 1.37 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew form and luck check

Major League Soccer

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Orlando City
    Orlando CityBookmakers: 45% to win today.
    +0.6
  • Columbus Crew
    Columbus CrewBookmakers: 31% to win today.
    −2.5

Last 5 matches

Orlando CityOrlando City
L
L
W
W
L
7th in table
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
W
W
L
L
L
13th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Orlando City 22nd of 30 · Columbus Crew 9th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Major League Soccer

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Orlando City and Columbus Crew games more often than the Major League Soccer average (63%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Orlando City8 of 10
Columbus Crew8 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Orlando City8 of 10
Columbus Crew7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 455 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Orlando City vs Columbus Crew corners, cards and goal times

Major League Soccer

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Orlando City score late

Orlando City

Columbus Crew

4.8

Corners won · league 5.0

4.9

5.4

Corners conceded · league 5.0

3.7

2.0

Cards · league 2.1

2.1

2.3

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

2.3

20%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

40%

40%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

27%

45%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

65%

15%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

29%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Orlando CityOrlando City
4/5
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Orlando CityOrlando City
3/5
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Orlando CityOrlando City
4/5
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Orlando CityOrlando City
2/5
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
5/5

First Half Result

Orlando CityOrlando City
2/5
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
3/5

Correct Score

Orlando CityOrlando City
0/5
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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