Flop as favourites
1/7Inter Miami won only 1 of 7 as favourites (league 50%).
Inter Miami vs New York City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Unlucky
Inter Miami are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−7points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games. New York City are also behind their chances: about −5 points.
Bookmakers: Inter Miami 66% to winNew York City 15%
Inter Miami vs New York City score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Inter Miami expected to create clearly more
3.5 goals in total, a little over the Major League Soccer average of 3.2.
goals expected
Inter Miami2.2
New York City1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Inter Miami vs New York City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Inter Miami vs New York City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Inter Miami to win
Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 1,752 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 5,541 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.0% than to our 60–65%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Inter Miami ahead at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 4,182 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Inter Miami Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Inter Miami 2+ goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,385 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
New York City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
New York City 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Inter Miami vs New York City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Inter Miami vs New York City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Inter Miami–
New York City–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Inter Miami–New York City–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
156%
X25%
220%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 45% | 55% |
| 45% | 55% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
146%
X35%
219%
1st Score
161%
X7%
232%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
16%
X-X
12%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-0
10.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Inter Miami vs New York City: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Inter Miami: flop as favourites, leaky and always on the scoresheet
1/7Leaky
0/10Inter Miami kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Inter Miami scored in all of their last 10 (league 21% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Inter Miami vs New York City: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Inter Miami: good attack, good defence (1.57 xG, 1.47 xGA a game)
- New York City: weak attack, good defence (1.40 xG, 1.39 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Inter Miami vs New York City form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesBoth sides are getting less than their chances usually bring
- Inter MiamiBookmakers: 66% to win today.−7.3
- New York CityBookmakers: 15% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−5.2
Last 5 matches
Inter MiamiL
D
D
D
D
New York CityL
D
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Inter Miami 3rd of 30 · New York City 12th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Inter Miami vs New York City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Inter Miami and New York City games more often than the Major League Soccer average (63%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Inter Miami9 of 10
New York City4 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Inter Miami10 of 10
New York City7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 455 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Inter Miami vs New York City corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score early
Inter Miami
New York City
3.9
Corners won · league 5.0
4.7
4.5
Corners conceded · league 5.0
4.9
3.0
Cards · league 2.1
1.9
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.7
57%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
73%
24%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
0%
45%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
38%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
15%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
New York City0/5
Inter Miami0/5
Both Teams to Score
New York City2/5
Inter Miami5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
New York City2/5
Inter Miami4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
New York City4/5
Inter Miami2/5
First Half Result
New York City2/5
Inter Miami3/5
Correct Score
New York City0/5
Inter Miami1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction