Dallas vs Seattle Sounders Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Riding their luck

Dallas are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Dallas 51% to winSeattle Sounders 24%

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders score prediction

Major League Soccer

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.1 goals in total, a little under the Major League Soccer average of 3.2.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dallas to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,422 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,557 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,883 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,177 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.

Dallas Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dallas 0–1 goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.

Seattle Sounders Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seattle Sounders 0–1 goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Dallas vs Seattle Sounders. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

DallasDallas–
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders–

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

146%
X25%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Dallas23%77%55%45%
Seattle Sounders34%66%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Dallas80%20%93%7%
Seattle Sounders88%12%96%4%

1st Half

136%
X39%
225%

1st Score

152%
X6%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

9.7%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

7.3%

0-1

7.3%

1-2

7.2%

0-0

6.2%

2-2

5.7%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

4.6%

3-0

3.7%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: the stats that stand out

Major League Soccer

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Dallas: hard to break

Hard to break
Dallas3/10

Dallas conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: attack vs defence

Major League Soccer

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • DallasDallas: weak attack, good defence (1.45 xG, 1.46 xGA a game)
  • Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders: weak attack, weak defence (1.50 xG, 1.73 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders form and luck check

Major League Soccer

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer games

Dallas are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Dallas
    DallasBookmakers: 51% to win today.
    +7.1
  • Seattle Sounders
    Seattle SoundersBookmakers: 24% to win today.
    +1.3

Last 5 matches

DallasDallas
W
D
W
W
W
3rd in table
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
W
W
W
D
D
7th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Dallas 16th of 30 · Seattle Sounders 8th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Major League Soccer

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Seattle Sounders games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Major League Soccer average (64%), Dallas games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Dallas7 of 10
Seattle Sounders5 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Dallas6 of 10
Seattle Sounders7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 455 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Dallas vs Seattle Sounders corners, cards and goal times

Major League Soccer

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Dallas score early, Seattle Sounders late

Dallas

Seattle Sounders

4.5

Corners won · league 5.0

5.7

5.5

Corners conceded · league 5.0

6.5

2.4

Cards · league 2.1

1.7

2.0

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

1.1

56%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

20%

33%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

47%

53%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

38%

12%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

38%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

DallasDallas
2/5
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
3/5

Both Teams to Score

DallasDallas
3/5
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

DallasDallas
2/5
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

DallasDallas
4/5
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
3/5

First Half Result

DallasDallas
1/5
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
2/5

Correct Score

DallasDallas
0/5
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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