Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Unlucky

Minnesota United are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Minnesota United 27% to winColorado Rapids 47%

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United score prediction

Major League Soccer

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.1 goals in total, a little under the Major League Soccer average of 3.2.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Colorado Rapids to win

Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,509 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,291 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Colorado Rapids ahead at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.

Colorado Rapids Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Colorado Rapids 2+ goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,726 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Minnesota United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minnesota United 0–1 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,174 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids–
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United–

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

150%
X25%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Colorado Rapids19%81%48%52%
Minnesota United36%64%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Colorado Rapids74%26%89%11%
Minnesota United88%12%96%4%

1st Half

140%
X38%
222%

1st Score

159%
X6%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

17%

X-X

13%

2-2

13%

X-2

7%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

8.9%

2-0

7.3%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

6.1%

0-1

5.8%

0-0

5.6%

3-1

5.4%

3-0

4.5%

3-2

3.5%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United: the stats that stand out

Major League Soccer

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Colorado Rapids: brick wall, fast starters and banker as favourites

Brick wall
Colorado Rapids5/10

Colorado Rapids kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 21%).

Fast starters
Colorado Rapids8/10

Colorado Rapids scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Banker as favourites
Colorado Rapids5/6

Colorado Rapids won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 50%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United: attack vs defence

Major League Soccer

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids: good attack, good defence (1.68 xG, 1.11 xGA a game)
  • Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United: good attack, weak defence (1.79 xG, 1.76 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United form and luck check

Major League Soccer

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer games

Minnesota United are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Colorado Rapids
    Colorado RapidsBookmakers: 47% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals
    −0.8
  • Minnesota United
    Minnesota UnitedBookmakers: 27% to win today.
    −8.4

Last 5 matches

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
L
D
W
D
L
8th in table
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
L
L
L
L
L
14th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Colorado Rapids 17th of 30 · Minnesota United 18th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Major League Soccer

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Minnesota United games more often than the Major League Soccer average (63%), in Colorado Rapids games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Colorado Rapids4 of 10
Minnesota United8 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Colorado Rapids3 of 10
Minnesota United10 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 455 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United corners, cards and goal times

Major League Soccer

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Major League Soccer average

Colorado Rapids

Minnesota United

5.5

Corners won · league 5.0

5.6

3.0

Corners conceded · league 5.0

4.9

2.0

Cards · league 2.1

1.9

2.3

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

1.6

50%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

43%

25%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

14%

23%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

48%

38%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

28%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
1/5

First Half Result

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
2/5

Correct Score

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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