Always chasing
8/10Toronto conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).
New York RB vs Toronto Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Wasteful
New York RB are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
New York RB vs Toronto score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.0 goals in total, a little under the Major League Soccer average of 3.2.
goals expected
New York RB1.7Toronto1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match New York RB vs Toronto will be played on Saturday, October 17 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the of the Major League Soccer, played in USA. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for New York RB vs Toronto, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
New York RB vs Toronto — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for New York RB vs Toronto. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
New York RB–
Toronto–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
New York RB–Toronto–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
146%
X25%
229%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
| 35% | 65% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
140%
X37%
223%
1st Score
155%
X7%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
15%
X-X
14%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
New York RB vs Toronto: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Toronto: always chasing and leaky · New York RB: shot-shy
8/10Leaky
0/10Toronto kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).
Shot-shy
4/10New York RB failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 21%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →New York RB vs Toronto: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- New York RB: weak attack, weak defence (1.19 xG, 1.65 xGA a game)
- Toronto: weak attack, weak defence (1.24 xG, 1.79 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →New York RB vs Toronto form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- New York RBWasteful · −5 goals+1.4
- TorontoClinical · +3 goals+3.5
Last 5 matches
New York RBL
W
W
L
D
TorontoW
L
L
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: New York RB 27th of 30 · Toronto 28th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →New York RB vs Toronto: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNew York RB games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Major League Soccer average (64%), Toronto games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
New York RB4 of 10
Toronto7 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
New York RB4 of 10
Toronto8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 455 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →New York RB vs Toronto corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Major League Soccer average
New York RB
Toronto
5.0
Corners won · league 5.0
3.6
6.0
Corners conceded · league 5.0
5.4
1.8
Cards · league 2.1
1.9
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.6
38%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
38%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
31%
29%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
50%
36%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Toronto4/5
New York RB1/5
Both Teams to Score
Toronto3/5
New York RB0/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Toronto3/5
New York RB1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Toronto4/5
New York RB5/5
First Half Result
Toronto4/5
New York RB2/5
Correct Score
Toronto0/5
New York RB0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction