1. Győri ETO vs Újpest

Győri ETO vs Újpest Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Riding their luck

Győri ETO are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Győri ETO 39% to winÚjpest 37%

Győri ETO vs Újpest score prediction

NB I.

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Győri ETO expected to create clearly more

3.1 goals in total, a little over the NB I. average of 3.0.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Győri ETO vs Újpest: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Győri ETO vs Újpest — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Győri ETO to win

Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 41%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Győri ETO Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Győri ETO 0–1 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.

Újpest Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Újpest 0–1 goals

Our model 57%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Győri ETO vs Újpest — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Győri ETO vs Újpest. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Győri ETOGyőri ETO–
ÚjpestÚjpest–

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

138%
X24%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Győri ETO26%74%56%44%
Újpest27%73%57%43%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Győri ETO80%20%93%7%
Újpest81%19%93%7%

1st Half

131%
X41%
228%

1st Score

151%
X5%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

20%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

8.5%

0-1

6.8%

1-0

6.8%

2-2

6.6%

2-0

5.2%

0-2

5.1%

1-3

4.7%

0-0

4.6%

3-1

4.5%

2-3

3.4%

3-2

3.4%

3-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Győri ETO vs Újpest: the stats that stand out

NB I.

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Győri ETO: fast starters · Újpest: leaky

Fast starters
Győri ETO8/10

Győri ETO scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Leaky
Újpest0/10

Újpest kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 23%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Győri ETO vs Újpest: attack vs defence

NB I.

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other NB I. teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Győri ETOGyőri ETO: weak attack, weak defence (1.55 xG, 1.83 xGA a game)
  • ÚjpestÚjpest: good attack, good defence (1.71 xG, 1.42 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Győri ETO vs Újpest form and luck check

NB I.

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 NB I. games

Győri ETO are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Győri ETO
    Győri ETOBookmakers: 39% to win today.
    +6.0
  • Újpest
    ÚjpestBookmakers: 37% to win today.
    −0.6

Last 5 matches

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
W
L
W
W
L
2nd in table
ÚjpestÚjpest
L
D
W
D
W
4th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Győri ETO 2nd of 12 · Újpest 6th of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Győri ETO vs Újpest: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

NB I.

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 NB I. gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Győri ETO and Újpest games more often than the NB I. average (59%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 58%
Győri ETO7 of 10
Újpest6 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Győri ETO6 of 10
Újpest8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 199 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Győri ETO vs Újpest corners, cards and goal times

NB I.

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Győri ETO score late

Győri ETO

Újpest

3.2

Corners won · league 4.9

4.6

7.6

Corners conceded · league 4.9

4.5

2.2

Cards · league 2.3

1.6

3.3

Opponents' cards · league 2.3

2.8

33%

Goals before half-time · league 42%

39%

44%

Goals after 75' · league 26%

28%

25%

Conceded before half-time · league 42%

53%

17%

Conceded after 75' · league 26%

20%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
2/5
ÚjpestÚjpest
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
3/5
ÚjpestÚjpest
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
4/5
ÚjpestÚjpest
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
4/5
ÚjpestÚjpest
3/5

First Half Result

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
2/5
ÚjpestÚjpest
4/5

Correct Score

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
0/5
ÚjpestÚjpest
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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