Shot-shy
6/10Zalaegerszegi TE failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 23%).
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Shot-shy
Zalaegerszegi TE failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 23%).
6/10Failed to score · Zalaegerszegi TE
Bookmakers: Zalaegerszegi TE 53% to winVárda SE 23%
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE score prediction
NB I.
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the NB I. average is 3.0).
goals expected
Zalaegerszegi TE1.5
Várda SE1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Zalaegerszegi TE to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 3,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 2,219 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Zalaegerszegi TE Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Várda SE Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Zalaegerszegi TE–
Várda SE–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Zalaegerszegi TE–Várda SE–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
141%
X26%
233%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 32% | 68% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
130%
X43%
226%
1st Score
151%
X7%
242%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE: the stats that stand out
NB I.
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Zalaegerszegi TE: shot-shy, always chasing and leaky
6/10Always chasing
7/10Zalaegerszegi TE conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Leaky
1/10Zalaegerszegi TE kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 23%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE: attack vs defence
NB I.
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other NB I. teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Zalaegerszegi TE: weak attack, good defence (1.42 xG, 1.61 xGA a game)
- Várda SE: weak attack, weak defence (1.26 xG, 2.00 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE form and luck check
NB I.
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 NB I. gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Zalaegerszegi TEBookmakers: 53% to win today.−2.1
- Várda SEBookmakers: 23% to win today.+1.9
Last 5 matches
Várda SED
D
L
W
D
Zalaegerszegi TEL
W
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Zalaegerszegi TE 11th of 12 · Várda SE 12th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
NB I.
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 NB I. gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE games less often than the NB I. average (59%), in Várda SE games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 58%
Zalaegerszegi TE7 of 10
Várda SE3 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Zalaegerszegi TE3 of 10
Várda SE7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 199 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Zalaegerszegi TE vs Várda SE corners, cards and goal times
NB I.
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the NB I. average
Zalaegerszegi TE
Várda SE
4.1
Corners won · league 4.9
4.5
4.3
Corners conceded · league 4.9
6.7
2.3
Cards · league 2.3
1.5
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
1.6
42%
Goals before half-time · league 42%
36%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
27%
48%
Conceded before half-time · league 42%
33%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
42%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Zalaegerszegi TE3/5
Várda SE1/5
Both Teams to Score
Zalaegerszegi TE2/5
Várda SE4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Zalaegerszegi TE3/5
Várda SE1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Zalaegerszegi TE4/5
Várda SE5/5
First Half Result
Zalaegerszegi TE0/5
Várda SE3/5
Correct Score
Zalaegerszegi TE0/5
Várda SE2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction