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  4. Kazincbarcika vs Paksi SE

Kazincbarcika vs Paksi SE 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

NB I. - Season 2025/2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
KazincbarcikaKazincbarcika

0–2

Paksi SEPaksi SE
1.0Chances (xG)2.7

On these chances Kazincbarcika would usually take 0.5 points and Paksi SE 2.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Paksi SE.

Kazincbarcika −0.5 pts vs chancesPaksi SE +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kazincbarcika vs Paksi SE stats: how the match was played

NB I.

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Paksi SE had more than twice the shots on target

Kazincbarcika

Paksi SE

5

Shots on target

10

1

Big chances

4

6

Corners

12

2

Yellow cards

4

44%

Possession

57%

The match between Kazincbarcika and Paksi SE ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Paksi SE win with 54% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Paksi SE – Győri ETO prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Kazincbarcika vs Paksi SE — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paksi SE to win

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,921 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paksi SE ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,624 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Kazincbarcika Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kazincbarcika 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,564 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Paksi SE Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paksi SE 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kazincbarcika vs Paksi SE 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kazincbarcika vs Paksi SE. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
NB I. - Hungary
KazincbarcikaKazincbarcika0
Paksi SEPaksi SE2

Winner

2 54%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

123%
X23%
254%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kazincbarcika40%60%72%28%
Paksi SE18%82%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kazincbarcika90%10%97%3%
Paksi SE72%28%88%12%

1st Half

121%
X37%
242%

1st Score

135%
X5%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

18%

1-1

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

9%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

1-2

10.3%

0-1

9.6%

0-2

8.0%

2-1

6.1%

1-3

5.8%

1-0

5.7%

2-2

5.6%

0-3

5.4%

0-0

5.1%

2-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Paksi SE – Győri ETO prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

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