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  4. Ferencvárosi vs Debrecen

Ferencváros vs Debrecen 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

NB I. - Season 2025/2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
FerencvárosFerencváros

0–1

DebrecenDebrecen
1.2Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Ferencváros would usually take 1.3 points and Debrecen 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Ferencváros.

Ferencváros −1.3 pts vs chancesDebrecen +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ferencváros vs Debrecen stats: how the match was played

NB I.

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Debrecen had more than twice the shots on target

Ferencváros

Debrecen

3

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

1

8

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

1

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Ferencváros and Debrecen ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Ferencváros win at 67% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Honvéd – Debrecen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Ferencváros vs Debrecen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ferencváros to win

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.8% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 936 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ferencváros ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Ferencváros Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ferencváros 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Debrecen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Debrecen 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,570 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ferencváros vs Debrecen 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ferencváros vs Debrecen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
NB I. - Hungary
FerencvárosFerencváros0
DebrecenDebrecen1

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

167%
X19%
215%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ferencváros11%89%34%66%
Debrecen47%53%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ferencváros61%39%81%19%
Debrecen94%6%98%2%

1st Half

151%
X33%
216%

1st Score

170%
X4%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

17%

X-X

10%

2-2

7%

X-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

11.0%

2-0

9.4%

1-0

9.0%

1-1

8.7%

3-1

7.5%

3-0

6.8%

2-2

5.1%

3-2

4.5%

1-2

4.4%

0-0

3.5%

0-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Honvéd – Debrecen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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