Debrecen vs Várda SE 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2025/2026 (Round 18)
Debrecen0–1
Várda SEOn these chances Debrecen would usually take 1.6 points and Várda SE 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Debrecen.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Debrecen vs Várda SE stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Várda SE had more than twice the shots on target
Debrecen
Várda SE
2
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
1
8
Corners
2
3
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
64%
Possession
36%
Debrecen vs Várda SE — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Debrecen to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Debrecen 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Debrecen vs Várda SE 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Debrecen vs Várda SE. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Debrecen0
Várda SE1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Debrecen0Várda SE1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
16%
X-X
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score