Győri ETO vs Debrecen 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

NB I. - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)

Robbed

Győri ETO drew despite more chances

Győri ETOGyőri ETO

2–2

DebrecenDebrecen
3.3Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Győri ETO would usually take 2.6 points and Debrecen 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Győri ETO.

Győri ETO −1.6 pts vs chancesDebrecen +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Győri ETO vs Debrecen stats: how the match was played

NB I.

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Győri ETO had clearly more shots on target

Győri ETO

Debrecen

8

Shots on target

5

5

Big chances

1

4

Corners

2

3

Yellow cards

3

68%

Possession

32%

The match between Győri ETO and Debrecen ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Győri ETO win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Paksi SE – Győri ETO prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Győri ETO vs Debrecen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Győri ETO to win

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,439 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,343 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Győri ETO ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,012 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Győri ETO Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Győri ETO 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,785 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Debrecen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Debrecen 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,236 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Győri ETO vs Debrecen 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Győri ETO vs Debrecen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Győri ETOGyőri ETO2
DebrecenDebrecen2

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

152%
X22%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Győri ETO19%81%46%54%
Debrecen36%64%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Győri ETO73%27%89%11%
Debrecen87%13%95%5%

1st Half

139%
X37%
224%

1st Score

157%
X4%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-X

11%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.0%

1-1

9.9%

1-0

8.6%

2-0

7.9%

3-1

6.6%

2-2

6.2%

1-2

6.1%

0-1

5.4%

3-2

4.5%

0-0

4.2%

3-0

3.8%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Paksi SE – Győri ETO prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

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