1. Kazincbarcika vs Debrecen

Kazincbarcika vs Debrecen 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

NB I. - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
KazincbarcikaKazincbarcika

0–3

DebrecenDebrecen
1.6Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Kazincbarcika would usually take 1.2 points and Debrecen 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Debrecen.

Kazincbarcika −1.2 pts vs chancesDebrecen +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kazincbarcika vs Debrecen stats: how the match was played

NB I.

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Kazincbarcika

Debrecen

5

Shots on target

5

3

Big chances

4

1

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

3

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Kazincbarcika and Debrecen ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Debrecen win with 58% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Honvéd – Debrecen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Kazincbarcika vs Debrecen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Debrecen to win

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,794 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Debrecen ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 1,211 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Kazincbarcika Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kazincbarcika 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 830 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Debrecen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Debrecen 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,009 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kazincbarcika vs Debrecen 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kazincbarcika vs Debrecen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
KazincbarcikaKazincbarcika0
DebrecenDebrecen3

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

120%
X22%
258%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kazincbarcika45%55%77%23%
Debrecen18%82%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kazincbarcika93%7%98%2%
Debrecen73%27%88%12%

1st Half

122%
X39%
239%

1st Score

136%
X6%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

X-2

17%

X-X

13%

1-1

12%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

11.5%

1-1

10.3%

1-2

9.9%

0-2

9.7%

0-0

6.2%

0-3

6.1%

1-0

5.9%

1-3

5.6%

2-1

5.3%

2-2

4.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Honvéd – Debrecen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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