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MTK vs Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
MTKMTK

3–0

Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi TE
1.7Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances MTK would usually take 1.8 points and Zalaegerszegi TE 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: MTK.

MTK +1.2 pts vs chancesZalaegerszegi TE −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

MTK vs Zalaegerszegi TE stats: how the match was played

NB I.

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

MTK had clearly more shots on target

MTK

Zalaegerszegi TE

6

Shots on target

4

5

Big chances

1

1

Corners

5

0

Yellow cards

2

47%

Possession

53%

The match between MTK and Zalaegerszegi TE ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a MTK win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zalaegerszegi TE – MTK prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

MTK vs Zalaegerszegi TE — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

MTK to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

MTK Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

MTK 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: MTK 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Zalaegerszegi TE Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

MTK vs Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for MTK vs Zalaegerszegi TE. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
NB I. - Hungary
MTKMTK3
Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi TE0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

146%
X25%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
MTK22%78%51%49%
Zalaegerszegi TE34%66%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
MTK77%23%91%9%
Zalaegerszegi TE86%14%95%5%

1st Half

134%
X41%
225%

1st Score

155%
X6%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

2-1

9.3%

1-0

8.3%

2-0

7.1%

1-2

6.9%

2-2

6.5%

0-1

6.2%

0-0

5.6%

3-1

5.4%

0-2

4.1%

3-2

3.6%

3-0

3.5%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zalaegerszegi TE – MTK prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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