Puskás vs Honvéd 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Puskás3–1
HonvédOn these chances Puskás would usually take 1.5 points and Honvéd 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Puskás.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Puskás vs Honvéd stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Puskás
Honvéd
5
Shots on target
5
4
Big chances
0
9
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
4
45%
Possession
55%
Puskás vs Honvéd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Honvéd to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Puskás to win.
Our track record
In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,692 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,004 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Puskás 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Puskás 2+ goals.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Honvéd 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Honvéd 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 841 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Puskás vs Honvéd 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Puskás vs Honvéd. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Puskás3
Honvéd1Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Puskás3Honvéd1Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 61% | 70% | 30% |
| 18% | 82% | 46% | 54% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
X-2
15%
1-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
1-2
10.1%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score