Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus 5-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
5–1
On these chances Zalaegerszegi TE would usually take 2.7 points and Nyíregyháza Spartacus 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nyíregyháza Spartacus.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Zalaegerszegi TE had more than twice the shots on target
Zalaegerszegi TE
Nyíregyháza Spartacus
8
Shots on target
3
6
Big chances
0
3
Corners
4
4
Yellow cards
2
44%
Possession
56%
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Nyíregyháza Spartacus to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Nyíregyháza Spartacus 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 61% | 39% | |
| 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% | |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
18%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus — Recent Form
Zalaegerszegi TE have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Nyíregyháza Spartacus have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score