Várda SE vs Ferencváros 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Ferencváros drew despite more chances
Várda SE1–1
FerencvárosOn these chances Várda SE would usually take 0.3 points and Ferencváros 2.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Ferencváros.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Várda SE vs Ferencváros stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Ferencváros had more than twice the shots on target
Várda SE
Ferencváros
2
Shots on target
5
1
Big chances
5
1
Corners
12
2
Yellow cards
0
27%
Possession
73%
Várda SE vs Ferencváros — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,068 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.6% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Várda SE vs Ferencváros 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Várda SE vs Ferencváros. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Várda SE1
Ferencváros1Winner
2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Várda SE1Ferencváros1Winner
2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | 53% | 75% | 25% |
| 13% | 87% | 35% | 65% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
| 60% | 40% | 79% | 21% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
40%
X-2
17%
X-X
12%
1-1
10%
X-1
6%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
0-0
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Várda SE vs Ferencváros — Recent Form
Ferencváros have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Várda SE have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FerencvárosVárda SEOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FerencvárosVárda SEBoth Teams to Score
FerencvárosVárda SEOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FerencvárosVárda SEOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FerencvárosVárda SEFirst Half Result
FerencvárosVárda SECorrect Score
FerencvárosVárda SE