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Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Persian Gulf Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Persian Gulf Pro League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Draw
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Esteghlal Khuzestan to win.
Our track record
In 1,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 2,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 288 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 398 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.9% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Aluminium Arak 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Esteghlal Khuzestan1
Aluminium Arak1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
0-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 77%
Esteghlal Khuzestan1Aluminium Arak1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
No 60%
Correct Score
0-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 77%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 43% | 57% | 70% | 30% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 77% | 23% | 94% | 6% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
 | 41% | 59% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
28%
1-1
19%
2-2
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
0-0
16.3%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score