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El Geish vs Al Ahly 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 15)

Fair result
El GeishEl Geish

2–1

Al AhlyAl Ahly
1.1Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances El Geish would usually take 0.9 points and Al Ahly 1.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ahly.

El Geish +2.1 pts vs chancesAl Ahly −1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

El Geish vs Al Ahly stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

El Geish

Al Ahly

5

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

0

5

Corners

7

3

Yellow cards

0

39%

Possession

61%

The match between El Geish and Al Ahly ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Al Ahly win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Future FC – Al Ahly prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

El Geish vs Al Ahly — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahly to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,106 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 1,718 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

El Geish Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

El Geish 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 391 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).

Al Ahly Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahly 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

El Geish vs Al Ahly 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for El Geish vs Al Ahly. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
El GeishEl Geish2
Al AhlyAl Ahly1

Winner

X2 79%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

121%
X29%
250%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
El Geish48%52%82%18%
Al Ahly27%74%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
El Geish96%4%99%1%
Al Ahly85%15%95%5%

1st Half

122%
X44%
234%

1st Score

135%
X12%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-X

19%

X-2

17%

1-1

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

16.1%

1-1

13.2%

0-0

12.3%

0-2

10.3%

1-0

9.0%

1-2

8.8%

2-1

5.0%

0-3

4.3%

1-3

3.7%

2-0

3.6%

2-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Future FC – Al Ahly prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

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