El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 3)
El Geish1–0
National Bank of EgyptOn these chances El Geish would usually take 1.4 points and National Bank of Egypt 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: National Bank of Egypt.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt stats: how the match was played
Premier League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
El Geish
National Bank of Egypt
4
Shots on target
4
0
Big chances
0
0
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
1
43%
Possession
57%
El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
National Bank of Egypt to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,577 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,209 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
El Geish 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.6%).
Our model’s pick
National Bank of Egypt 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,236 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
El Geish1
National Bank of Egypt0Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
El Geish1National Bank of Egypt0Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 73% | 27% | 92% | 8% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 78% | 22% |
| 29% | 71% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
X-X
21%
1-1
15%
X-2
15%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
14.3%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score