Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Al Ahly2–0
Abu Qir SemadOn these chances Al Ahly would usually take 2.2 points and Abu Qir Semad 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ahly.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad stats: how the match was played
Premier League
Al Ahly had more than twice the shots on target
Al Ahly
Abu Qir Semad
9
Shots on target
3
1
Big chances
0
7
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
3
58%
Possession
42%
Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Al Ahly to win
CorrectOur track record
In 593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.0% of the time (bookmakers said 71.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,766 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Al Ahly ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Al Ahly 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,340 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Abu Qir Semad 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.8% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Al Ahly2
Abu Qir Semad0Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Al Ahly2Abu Qir Semad0Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 44% | 56% |
| 58% | 42% | 88% | 12% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 89% | 11% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
2-2
6%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
2-1
10.3%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Ahly vs Abu Qir Semad — Recent Form
Al Ahly have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Abu Qir Semad have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Al AhlyAbu Qir SemadOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al AhlyAbu Qir SemadBoth Teams to Score
Al AhlyAbu Qir SemadOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Al AhlyAbu Qir SemadOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Al AhlyAbu Qir SemadFirst Half Result
Al AhlyAbu Qir SemadCorrect Score
Al AhlyAbu Qir Semad