El Gounah vs Petrojet 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
El GounahEl Gounah

1–2

PetrojetPetrojet
1.1Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances El Gounah would usually take 1.2 points and Petrojet 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Petrojet.

El Gounah −1.2 pts vs chancesPetrojet +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

El Gounah vs Petrojet stats: how the match was played

Premier League

El Gounah had more than twice the shots on target

El Gounah

Petrojet

4

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

2

7

Corners

1

0

Yellow cards

1

64%

Possession

36%

The match between El Gounah and Petrojet ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Petrojet win with 37% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – El Gounah prediction & betting tips (Oct 13, 2026).

El Gounah vs Petrojet — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Petrojet to win

Correct
Our model 37%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,040 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.4% of the time (bookmakers said 43.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,089 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,199 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.2% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

El Gounah Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

El Gounah 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 825 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.7%).

Petrojet Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Petrojet 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

El Gounah vs Petrojet 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for El Gounah vs Petrojet. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
El GounahEl Gounah1
PetrojetPetrojet2

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

131%
X32%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT38%62%66%34%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
El Gounah39%61%75%25%
Petrojet35%65%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
El Gounah93%7%98%2%
Petrojet91%9%97%3%

1st Half

122%
X52%
227%

1st Score

141%
X13%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

2-2

20%

1-1

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.3%

0-0

13.4%

0-1

13.1%

1-0

11.9%

1-2

7.8%

0-2

7.3%

2-1

6.8%

2-0

5.9%

2-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

El Gounah vs Petrojet — Recent Form

Petrojet have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. El Gounah have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

PetrojetPetrojet
W
W
L
L
D
El GounahEl Gounah
L
L
L
D
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

PetrojetPetrojet
3/5
El GounahEl Gounah
4/5

Both Teams to Score

PetrojetPetrojet
0/5
El GounahEl Gounah
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PetrojetPetrojet
1/5
El GounahEl Gounah
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PetrojetPetrojet
4/5
El GounahEl Gounah
5/5

First Half Result

PetrojetPetrojet
1/5
El GounahEl Gounah
3/5

Correct Score

PetrojetPetrojet
1/5
El GounahEl Gounah
2/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – El Gounah prediction & betting tips (Oct 13, 2026).

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