El Gounah vs Petrojet 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
1–2
On these chances El Gounah would usually take 1.2 points and Petrojet 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Petrojet.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →El Gounah vs Petrojet stats: how the match was played
Premier League
El Gounah had more than twice the shots on target
El Gounah
Petrojet
4
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
2
7
Corners
1
0
Yellow cards
1
64%
Possession
36%
El Gounah vs Petrojet — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Petrojet to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,040 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.4% of the time (bookmakers said 43.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,089 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,199 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.2% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
El Gounah 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 825 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.7%).
Our model’s pick
Petrojet 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
El Gounah vs Petrojet 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for El Gounah vs Petrojet. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 75%
Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 75%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 66% | 34% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 75% | 25% | 93% | 7% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% | |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% | |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
24%
2-2
20%
1-1
15%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.3%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
El Gounah vs Petrojet — Recent Form
Petrojet have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. El Gounah have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score