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Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla

0–1

ZamalekZamalek
0.8Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Ghazl El Mehalla would usually take 0.9 points and Zamalek 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Zamalek.

Ghazl El Mehalla −0.9 pts vs chancesZamalek +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Zamalek had clearly more shots on target

Ghazl El Mehalla

Zamalek

2

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

1

3

Corners

0

2

Yellow cards

3

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Ghazl El Mehalla and Zamalek ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Zamalek win with 43% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asyut Petrol – Zamalek prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zamalek to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Ghazl El Mehalla Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Zamalek Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zamalek 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla0
ZamalekZamalek1

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

Full Time

125%
X31%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%66%34%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT74%26%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ghazl El Mehalla44%56%79%21%
Zamalek31%69%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ghazl El Mehalla94%6%99%1%
Zamalek88%12%97%3%

1st Half

120%
X50%
231%

1st Score

138%
X14%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

2-2

23%

X-2

17%

1-1

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

15.2%

0-0

13.9%

1-1

13.3%

1-0

10.4%

0-2

8.8%

1-2

8.1%

2-1

5.5%

2-0

4.3%

2-2

3.5%

0-3

3.3%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asyut Petrol – Zamalek prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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