Slow starters
2/10Crystal Palace scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Wasteful
Liverpool are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Liverpool 56% to winCrystal Palace 22%
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.9 goals in total, a little over the Premier League average of 2.8.
goals expected
Crystal Palace1.3
Liverpool1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Liverpool to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Crystal Palace Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crystal Palace 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Liverpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Liverpool 2+ goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Crystal Palace–
Liverpool–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Crystal Palace–Liverpool–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
126%
X23%
251%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 68% | 32% |
| 19% | 81% | 48% | 52% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
123%
X39%
238%
1st Score
139%
X5%
256%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-X
13%
X-1
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
1-2
10.0%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Crystal Palace: slow starters, leaky and shot-shy
2/10Leaky
1/10Crystal Palace kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 26%).
Shot-shy
4/10Crystal Palace failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Crystal Palace: weak attack, weak defence (1.34 xG, 1.76 xGA a game)
- Liverpool: good attack, good defence (1.64 xG, 1.38 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Crystal Palace vs Liverpool form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Crystal PalaceBookmakers: 22% to win today.−2.1
- LiverpoolBookmakers: 56% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−0.1
Last 5 matches
LiverpoolW
W
L
W
D
Crystal PalaceL
L
W
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Crystal Palace 17th of 20 · Liverpool 5th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredCrystal Palace games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Premier League average (54%), Liverpool games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Crystal Palace7 of 10
Liverpool5 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Crystal Palace6 of 10
Liverpool5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 370 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Crystal Palace vs Liverpool corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 43%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Liverpool3/5
Crystal Palace2/5
Both Teams to Score
Liverpool1/5
Crystal Palace2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Liverpool2/5
Crystal Palace2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Liverpool5/5
Crystal Palace2/5
First Half Result
Liverpool2/5
Crystal Palace3/5
Correct Score
Liverpool0/5
Crystal Palace0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction