Manchester City vs Everton 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)
Manchester City vs Everton — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Manchester City to win
WrongOur track record
In 323 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 548 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).
Our model’s pick
Manchester City ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.8% of the time (bookmakers said 64.6%).
Our model’s pick
Manchester City 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.8% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Everton 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.8% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Manchester City vs Everton 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Manchester City vs Everton. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Manchester City1
Everton1Winner
1 74%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Manchester City1Everton1Winner
1 74%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11% | 89% | 32% | 68% |
 | 63% | 37% | 88% | 12% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 43% | 77% | 23% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
54%
X-1
18%
X-X
7%
2-1
5%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-2
4%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score