Chelsea vs Fulham 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)

The match between Chelsea and Fulham ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Chelsea win at 61% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chelsea – AFC Bournemouth prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).

Chelsea vs Fulham — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chelsea to win

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,051 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,430 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chelsea ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,225 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Chelsea Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chelsea 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Fulham Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fulham 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 78%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,564 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Chelsea vs Fulham 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Chelsea vs Fulham. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ChelseaChelsea1
FulhamFulham2

Winner

1 61%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

161%
X22%
217%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Chelsea16%84%41%59%
Fulham48%52%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Chelsea66%34%84%16%
Fulham93%7%98%2%

1st Half

151%
X32%
217%

1st Score

160%
X6%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

47%

X-1

16%

X-X

9%

2-2

7%

1-X

5%

X-2

5%

2-1

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

10.6%

1-1

9.4%

2-0

9.2%

2-1

9.1%

3-0

6.5%

3-1

6.3%

0-0

6.2%

0-1

5.2%

2-2

4.7%

1-2

4.0%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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