Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Tottenham Hotspur to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Nottingham Forest to win.
Our track record
In 1,031 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,015 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Nottingham Forest 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Nottingham Forest 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 981 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Nottingham Forest1
Tottenham Hotspur0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Nottingham Forest1Tottenham Hotspur0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
 | 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-X
14%
X-1
10%
1-X
7%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score