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Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)

Fair result

Nottingham Forest

1–0

Tottenham Hotspur

1.0Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Nottingham Forest would usually take 1.2 points and Tottenham Hotspur 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nottingham Forest.

Nottingham Forest +1.8 pts vs chancesTottenham Hotspur −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Nottingham Forest

Tottenham Hotspur

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

30%

Possession

70%

The match between Nottingham Forest and Tottenham Hotspur ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Tottenham Hotspur win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brentford – Nottingham Forest prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tottenham Hotspur to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Nottingham Forest to win.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,071 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 5,324 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,411 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,002 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Nottingham Forest Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nottingham Forest 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Nottingham Forest 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 393 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.0% than to our 60–65%.

Tottenham Hotspur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - England

Nottingham Forest1

Tottenham Hotspur0

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Premier League - England

Nottingham Forest1

Tottenham Hotspur0

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

133%

X25%

243%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%	54%	46%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	31%	69%	62%	38%	84%	16%	95%	5%
	23%	77%	54%	46%	78%	22%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	62%	38%
	23%	77%	54%	46%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	95%	5%
	78%	22%	92%	8%

1st Half

128%

X38%

235%

1st Score

137%

X5%

257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

17%

X-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-1

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

1-2

8.9%

0-1

8.2%

2-1

8.1%

2-2

6.6%

1-0

6.5%

0-2

6.2%

0-0

5.1%

1-3

4.9%

2-0

4.4%

0-3

3.7%

3-1

3.3%

2-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brentford – Nottingham Forest prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).