1. Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)

Fair result
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers

2–0

Manchester UnitedManchester United
0.7Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Wolverhampton Wanderers would usually take 1.1 points and Manchester United 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Manchester United.

Wolverhampton Wanderers +1.9 pts vs chancesManchester United −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Manchester United

4

Shots on target

4

1

Big chances

0

4

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Manchester United ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Manchester United win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chelsea – Manchester United prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manchester United to win

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,324 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 2,411 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,680 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Manchester United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manchester United 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers2
Manchester UnitedManchester United0

Winner

2 54%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

124%
X23%
254%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers39%61%71%29%
Manchester United18%82%46%54%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers90%10%97%3%
Manchester United72%28%88%12%

1st Half

122%
X40%
238%

1st Score

132%
X5%
263%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-2

17%

1-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

5%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

1-2

9.6%

0-1

9.0%

0-2

8.7%

2-2

6.0%

1-3

6.0%

1-0

5.7%

2-1

5.7%

0-3

5.0%

0-0

4.8%

2-0

3.4%

2-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chelsea – Manchester United prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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