Liverpool vs Leicester City 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)
Liverpool vs Leicester City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Liverpool to win
CorrectOur track record
In 146 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.6% of the time (bookmakers said 81.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,430 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,046 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Liverpool ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 297 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).
Our model’s pick
Liverpool 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
Leicester City 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.8% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Liverpool vs Leicester City 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Liverpool vs Leicester City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Liverpool3
Leicester City1Winner
1 76%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Liverpool3Leicester City1Winner
1 76%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9% | 91% | 29% | 71% |
 | 61% | 39% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 46% | 75% | 25% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
55%
X-1
19%
X-X
7%
2-1
5%
1-X
4%
2-2
4%
X-2
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.9%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score