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Arsenal vs Ipswich Town 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)

Fair result
ArsenalArsenal

1–0

Ipswich TownIpswich Town
1.4Chances (xG)0.2

On these chances Arsenal would usually take 2.4 points and Ipswich Town 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Arsenal.

Arsenal +0.6 pts vs chancesIpswich Town −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Arsenal vs Ipswich Town stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Arsenal had more than twice the shots on target

Arsenal

Ipswich Town

5

Shots on target

0

3

Big chances

0

5

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

1

68%

Possession

32%

The match between Arsenal and Ipswich Town ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Arsenal win with 76% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hull City – Ipswich Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Arsenal vs Ipswich Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal to win

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 146 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 5,324 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,411 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 108 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Arsenal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Ipswich Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ipswich Town 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 89%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 603 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Arsenal vs Ipswich Town 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Arsenal vs Ipswich Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - England
ArsenalArsenal1
Ipswich TownIpswich Town0

Winner

1 76%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

176%
X16%
28%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Arsenal10%90%31%69%
Ipswich Town63%37%89%11%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Arsenal56%44%76%24%
Ipswich Town98%2%100%0%

1st Half

164%
X28%
28%

1st Score

179%
X5%
216%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

57%

X-1

20%

X-X

6%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

3%

2-2

3%

X-2

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

12.2%

1-0

11.2%

3-0

10.3%

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.2%

3-1

6.7%

0-0

5.1%

0-1

3.3%

2-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hull City – Ipswich Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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