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West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United

1–2

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
1.5Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances West Ham United would usually take 1.1 points and Nottingham Forest 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Nottingham Forest.

West Ham United −1.1 pts vs chancesNottingham Forest +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nottingham Forest had clearly more shots on target

West Ham United

Nottingham Forest

3

Shots on target

5

3

Big chances

1

6

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

0

48%

Possession

53%

The match between West Ham United and Nottingham Forest ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Nottingham Forest win with 52% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brentford – Nottingham Forest prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nottingham Forest to win

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,992 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

West Ham United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

West Ham United 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Nottingham Forest Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nottingham Forest 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for West Ham United vs Nottingham Forest. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - England
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United1
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest2

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

124%
X23%
252%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
West Ham United39%61%73%27%
Nottingham Forest20%80%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
West Ham United91%9%98%2%
Nottingham Forest76%24%91%9%

1st Half

124%
X42%
235%

1st Score

137%
X6%
257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-2

19%

1-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

0-1

10.7%

1-2

10.1%

0-2

8.7%

1-0

6.6%

0-0

5.9%

2-1

5.8%

1-3

5.7%

2-2

5.4%

0-3

4.8%

2-0

3.8%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brentford – Nottingham Forest prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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