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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

0–0

Aston VillaAston Villa
1.4Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Crystal Palace would usually take 1.3 points and Aston Villa 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Aston Villa.

Crystal Palace −0.3 pts vs chancesAston Villa −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Crystal Palace had clearly more shots on target

Crystal Palace

Aston Villa

5

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

3

3

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

0

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Aston Villa win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crystal Palace – Newcastle United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aston Villa to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Crystal Palace Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crystal Palace 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Aston Villa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aston Villa 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - England
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace0
Aston VillaAston Villa0

Winner

12 77%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

138%
X23%
239%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Crystal Palace29%71%62%38%
Aston Villa29%71%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Crystal Palace83%17%94%6%
Aston Villa83%17%94%6%

1st Half

135%
X41%
224%

1st Score

153%
X6%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-2

8.5%

1-0

8.4%

0-1

8.4%

2-1

8.1%

0-2

6.1%

0-0

5.7%

2-0

5.6%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

4.1%

1-3

4.0%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crystal Palace – Newcastle United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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