2. Leagues
  3. Premier League
  4. Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal vs Liverpool 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
ArsenalArsenal

0–0

LiverpoolLiverpool
1.0Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Arsenal would usually take 1.7 points and Liverpool 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Arsenal.

Arsenal −0.7 pts vs chancesLiverpool +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Arsenal vs Liverpool stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Arsenal had more than twice the shots on target

Arsenal

Liverpool

4

Shots on target

0

1

Big chances

0

3

Corners

0

2

Yellow cards

2

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Arsenal and Liverpool ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Arsenal win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liverpool – Brighton & Hove Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Arsenal vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal to win

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,350 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,709 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Arsenal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Liverpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,392 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Arsenal vs Liverpool 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Arsenal vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - England
ArsenalArsenal0
LiverpoolLiverpool0

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

155%
X23%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Arsenal18%82%47%53%
Liverpool41%59%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Arsenal74%26%89%11%
Liverpool92%8%98%2%

1st Half

143%
X39%
218%

1st Score

165%
X6%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

10%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

2-1

10.8%

1-0

10.3%

2-0

8.7%

1-2

5.8%

0-0

5.7%

0-1

5.6%

3-1

5.5%

3-0

5.4%

2-2

5.4%

3-2

3.4%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liverpool – Brighton & Hove Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores