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Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa vs Chelsea 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 29)

The match between Aston Villa and Chelsea ended 1-4. Our AI model predicted a Aston Villa win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brentford – Chelsea prediction & betting tips (Sep 18, 2026).

Aston Villa vs Chelsea 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Aston Villa vs Chelsea. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - England

Aston Villa1

Chelsea4

Winner

12 76%

BTTS**

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Premier League - England

Aston Villa1

Chelsea4

Winner

12 76%

BTTS**

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

139%

X24%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%	51%	49%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	56%	44%	80%	20%	93%	7%
	27%	73%	57%	43%	80%	20%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	56%	44%
	27%	73%	57%	43%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	93%	7%
	80%	20%	93%	7%

1st Half

131%

X40%

229%

1st Score

148%

X5%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

21%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

8.4%

1-0

6.9%

0-1

6.8%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

5.2%

0-2

5.1%

0-0

4.5%

3-1

4.4%

1-3

4.3%

3-2

3.5%

2-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score