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Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Fair result
BurnleyBurnley

0–0

AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
1.5Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Burnley would usually take 1.1 points and AFC Bournemouth 1.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: AFC Bournemouth.

Burnley −0.1 pts vs chancesAFC Bournemouth −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

AFC Bournemouth had clearly more shots on target

Burnley

AFC Bournemouth

2

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

3

5

Corners

8

1

Yellow cards

0

38%

Possession

63%

The match between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an AFC Bournemouth win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Manchester United – AFC Bournemouth prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AFC Bournemouth to win

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AFC Bournemouth ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Burnley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Burnley 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

AFC Bournemouth Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AFC Bournemouth 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AFC Bournemouth 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - England
BurnleyBurnley0
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth0

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

134%
X27%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Burnley32%68%65%35%
AFC Bournemouth29%71%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Burnley86%14%95%5%
AFC Bournemouth84%16%95%5%

1st Half

130%
X39%
230%

1st Score

145%
X8%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

21%

X-X

15%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

0-1

9.8%

1-0

8.8%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.1%

2-1

7.6%

0-2

6.2%

2-2

5.7%

2-0

5.1%

1-3

3.6%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Manchester United – AFC Bournemouth prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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