Aston Villa vs Liverpool 4-2 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 37)
Aston Villa vs Liverpool — Premier League Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 37 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Liverpool+23.7% Strongly above implied probability
Aston Villa-5.8% Near implied probability
┊ 44.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Liverpool+25.3% Strongly above implied probability
Aston Villa+20.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Liverpool+16.4% Strongly above implied probability
Aston Villa-12.7% Below implied probability
┊ 54.3% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Liverpool+18.5% Strongly above implied probability
Aston Villa+18.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 60% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Liverpool+30.5% Strongly above implied probability
Aston Villa+23.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
LiverpoolAston VillaOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Aston Villa and Liverpool across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Liverpool hit at 50% accuracy — that's 30.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Aston Villa sit 12.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Aston Villa vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 45% | 55% | 72% | 28% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 6% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 17% | 5% | 10% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 4% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 51% | 49% |
 | 29% | 71% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 45% | 55% | 72% | 28% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 6% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 17% | 5% | 10% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 4% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 51% | 49% |
| 29% | 71% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Aston Villa vs Liverpool — Prediction Form & Streaks
Aston Villa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Liverpool have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Liverpool well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
LiverpoolAston VillaBoth Teams To Score
LiverpoolAston VillaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LiverpoolAston VillaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LiverpoolAston VillaFirst Half Result
LiverpoolAston VillaCorrect Score
LiverpoolAston VillaAston Villa & Liverpool Teams in Best Form
Aston VillaLiverpool