Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

The match between Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Tottenham Hotspur win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa — Premier League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Round 5 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

43.2% implied

Tottenham Hotspur20%1/5-53.7%Below implied probability
Aston Villa40%2/5-7.4%Near implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Tottenham Hotspur20%1/5-63.2%Below implied probability
Aston Villa40%2/5-26.5%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.8% implied

Tottenham Hotspur40%2/5-25.7%Below implied probability
Aston Villa60%3/5+11.5%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.3% implied

Tottenham Hotspur80%4/5+34.9%Strongly above implied probability
Aston Villa60%3/5+1.2%Above implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Tottenham Hotspur60%3/5+59.6%Strongly above implied probability
Aston Villa60%3/5+59.6%Strongly above implied probability
Tottenham Hotspur0%0/5
Aston Villa0%0/5

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Tottenham Hotspur hit at 60% accuracy — that's 59.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Tottenham Hotspur sit 63.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur2
Aston VillaAston Villa3

Winner

12 75%

BTTS**

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

138%
X25%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Tottenham Hotspur27%73%58%42%
Aston Villa27%73%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Tottenham Hotspur81%19%94%6%
Aston Villa82%18%94%6%

1st Half

129%
X42%
229%

1st Score

148%
X5%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

22%

X-X

15%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

8.5%

1-0

7.5%

0-1

7.4%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

5.3%

0-0

5.3%

0-2

5.2%

3-1

4.1%

1-3

4.0%

3-2

3.2%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa — Prediction Form & Streaks

Aston Villa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Tottenham Hotspur have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
0 in a row
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
1 in a row
Aston VillaAston Villa
2 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
1 in a row
Aston VillaAston Villa
2 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
0 in a row
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
0 in a row
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
0 in a row
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row

Tottenham Hotspur & Aston Villa Teams in Best Form

Aston VillaAston Villa
W
L
D
L
L
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
L
D
D
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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