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Hull City vs Everton

Hull City vs Everton 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Robbed

Everton drew despite more chances

Hull City

2–2

Everton

1.1Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Hull City would usually take 0.7 points and Everton 2.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Everton.

Hull City +0.3 pts vs chancesEverton −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hull City vs Everton stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Everton had clearly more shots on target

Hull City

Everton

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

34%

Possession

66%

The match between Hull City and Everton ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Everton win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Arsenal – Everton prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Hull City vs Everton — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Everton to win

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 3,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Hull City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hull City 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Everton Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Everton 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hull City vs Everton 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hull City vs Everton. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - England

Hull City2

Everton2

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Premier League - England

Hull City2

Everton2

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

128%

X29%

244%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	30%	70%	56%	44%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	30%	70%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	39%	61%	74%	26%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	27%	73%	61%	39%	84%	16%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	39%	61%	74%	26%
	27%	73%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	84%	16%	95%	5%

1st Half

122%

X44%

234%

1st Score

139%

X10%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

19%

X-2

15%

1-1

14%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.2%

0-1

11.8%

0-0

9.7%

1-2

9.0%

1-0

9.0%

0-2

8.1%

2-1

6.5%

2-2

5.0%

2-0

4.6%

1-3

3.8%

0-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hull City vs Everton — Recent Form

Everton have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Hull City have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Everton

Hull City

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Everton

1/5

Hull City

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Everton

1/5

Hull City

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Everton

0/5

Hull City

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Everton

3/5

Hull City

3/5

First Half Result

Everton

4/5

Hull City

3/5

Correct Score

Everton

0/5

Hull City

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Arsenal – Everton prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).