Coventry City vs Newcastle United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Coventry City vs Newcastle United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Newcastle United to win
Our track record
In 1,944 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.4% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,031 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,611 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,035 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,258 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Coventry City 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Newcastle United 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 540 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Coventry City vs Newcastle United — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Coventry City vs Newcastle United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Coventry City–
Newcastle United–Winner
12 75%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Coventry City–Newcastle United–Winner
12 75%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 58% | 42% |
 | 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
21%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Coventry City vs Newcastle United — Recent Form
Newcastle United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Coventry City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Newcastle UnitedCoventry CityOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Newcastle UnitedCoventry CityBoth Teams to Score
Newcastle UnitedCoventry CityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Newcastle UnitedCoventry CityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Newcastle UnitedCoventry CityFirst Half Result
Newcastle UnitedCoventry CityCorrect Score
Newcastle UnitedCoventry City