Everton vs Chelsea Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Everton vs Chelsea — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Everton to win
Our track record
In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,539 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,563 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Everton 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Chelsea 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,618 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Everton vs Chelsea — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Everton vs Chelsea. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Everton–
Chelsea–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Everton–Chelsea–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24% | 76% | 55% | 45% |
 | 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Everton vs Chelsea — Recent Form
Everton have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Last 5 matches
EvertonChelseaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
EvertonChelseaBoth Teams to Score
EvertonChelseaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
EvertonChelseaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
EvertonChelseaFirst Half Result
EvertonChelseaCorrect Score
EvertonChelsea