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Manchester City vs Ipswich Town

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Manchester City

3–2

Ipswich Town

2.1Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Manchester City would usually take 1.7 points and Ipswich Town 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Manchester City.

Manchester City +1.3 pts vs chancesIpswich Town −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Manchester City had more than twice the shots on target

Manchester City

Ipswich Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Manchester City and Ipswich Town ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Manchester City win with 66% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Manchester City – Brighton & Hove Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manchester City to win

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,106 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manchester City ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Manchester City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manchester City 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Ipswich Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ipswich Town 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 80%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Manchester City vs Ipswich Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - England

Manchester City3

Ipswich Town2

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Premier League - England

Manchester City3

Ipswich Town2

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

166%

X19%

215%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%	51%	49%	74%	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	74%	26%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%	63%	37%	82%	18%
	50%	50%	80%	20%	94%	6%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%
	50%	50%	80%	20%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	63%	37%	82%	18%
	94%	6%	98%	2%

1st Half

151%

X34%

216%

1st Score

168%

X5%

227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

18%

X-X

10%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.1%

2-0

10.1%

1-0

10.1%

1-1

8.6%

3-0

7.3%

3-1

6.8%

0-0

4.9%

2-2

4.8%

1-2

4.2%

0-1

3.9%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town — Recent Form

Manchester City have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Ipswich Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Manchester City

Ipswich Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Manchester City

4/5

Ipswich Town

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Manchester City

2/5

Ipswich Town

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Manchester City

4/5

Ipswich Town

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Manchester City

3/5

Ipswich Town

3/5

First Half Result

Manchester City

3/5

Ipswich Town

3/5

Correct Score

Manchester City

0/5

Ipswich Town

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Manchester City – Brighton & Hove Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).