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Brentford vs Liverpool

Brentford vs Liverpool 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Brentford

1–2

Liverpool

0.9Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Brentford would usually take 0.8 points and Liverpool 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Liverpool.

Brentford −0.8 pts vs chancesLiverpool +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Brentford vs Liverpool stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Liverpool had more than twice the shots on target

Brentford

Liverpool

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Brentford and Liverpool ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Liverpool win with 45% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liverpool – Brighton & Hove Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Brentford vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool to win

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 38%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,003 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Brentford Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brentford 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Brentford 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.

Liverpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Brentford vs Liverpool 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Brentford vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - England

Brentford1

Liverpool2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Premier League - England

Brentford1

Liverpool2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

130%

X25%

245%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	55%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	33%	67%	64%	36%	86%	14%	95%	5%
	23%	77%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	64%	36%
	23%	77%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	95%	5%
	77%	23%	91%	9%

1st Half

127%

X38%

236%

1st Score

143%

X5%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

17%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

1-2

9.5%

0-1

8.2%

2-1

7.6%

1-0

6.5%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

6.3%

0-0

5.4%

1-3

4.8%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

3.8%

2-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Brentford vs Liverpool — Recent Form

Liverpool have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Brentford have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Liverpool

Brentford

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Liverpool

2/5

Brentford

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Liverpool

1/5

Brentford

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Liverpool

2/5

Brentford

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Liverpool

5/5

Brentford

3/5

First Half Result

Liverpool

1/5

Brentford

4/5

Correct Score

Liverpool

0/5

Brentford

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liverpool – Brighton & Hove Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).