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Orenburg vs Krasnodar

Orenburg vs Krasnodar 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Orenburg

0–0

Krasnodar

1.5Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Orenburg would usually take 1.6 points and Krasnodar 1.2; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Krasnodar.

Orenburg −0.6 pts vs chancesKrasnodar −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Orenburg vs Krasnodar stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Orenburg had more than twice the shots on target

Orenburg

Krasnodar

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

40%

Possession

61%

The match between Orenburg and Krasnodar ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Krasnodar win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Orenburg – Makhachkala prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).

Orenburg vs Krasnodar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krasnodar to win

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 793 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.3% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Krasnodar ahead at half-time.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.

Orenburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Orenburg 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 825 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.7%).

Krasnodar Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krasnodar 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Krasnodar 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Orenburg vs Krasnodar 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Orenburg vs Krasnodar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Orenburg0

Krasnodar0

Winner

X2 76%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Orenburg0

Krasnodar0

Winner

X2 76%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

124%

X27%

249%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	30%	70%	56%	44%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	30%	70%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	43%	57%	77%	23%	93%	7%	98%	2%
	24%	76%	57%	43%	82%	18%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	43%	57%	77%	23%
	24%	76%	57%	43%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	93%	7%	98%	2%
	82%	18%	94%	6%

1st Half

121%

X45%

235%

1st Score

137%

X9%

254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

X-X

18%

X-2

17%

1-1

13%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-1

12.9%

1-1

12.5%

1-2

9.4%

0-2

9.3%

0-0

9.3%

1-0

7.8%

2-1

5.8%

0-3

4.8%

2-2

4.6%

1-3

4.3%

2-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Orenburg vs Krasnodar — Recent Form

Krasnodar have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Orenburg have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Krasnodar

Orenburg

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Krasnodar

2/5

Orenburg

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Krasnodar

2/5

Orenburg

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Krasnodar

2/5

Orenburg

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Krasnodar

4/5

Orenburg

4/5

First Half Result

Krasnodar

2/5

Orenburg

3/5

Correct Score

Krasnodar

2/5

Orenburg

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Orenburg – Makhachkala prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).