1. Magesi vs Stellenbosch

Magesi vs Stellenbosch 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2024/2025

Fair result
MagesiMagesi

1–0

StellenboschStellenbosch
0.7Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Magesi would usually take 1.0 points and Stellenbosch 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Stellenbosch.

Magesi +2.0 pts vs chancesStellenbosch −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Magesi vs Stellenbosch stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Stellenbosch had clearly more shots on target

Magesi

Stellenbosch

2

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

2

3

Corners

11

0

Yellow cards

3

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Magesi and Stellenbosch ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Stellenbosch win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Magesi vs Stellenbosch — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stellenbosch to win

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,330 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 4,288 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Magesi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Magesi 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Stellenbosch Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stellenbosch 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Magesi vs Stellenbosch 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Magesi vs Stellenbosch. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MagesiMagesi1
StellenboschStellenbosch0

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

121%
X27%
251%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Magesi46%54%79%21%
Stellenbosch23%77%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Magesi94%6%98%2%
Stellenbosch80%20%93%7%

1st Half

116%
X46%
239%

1st Score

131%
X10%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-X

19%

X-2

18%

1-1

9%

X-1

7%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

14.0%

1-1

12.1%

0-2

10.0%

0-0

9.8%

1-2

8.8%

1-0

7.5%

2-1

5.1%

0-3

5.1%

1-3

4.5%

2-2

4.3%

2-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores