Durban City vs Marumo Gallants FC 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 12)
Durban City1–0
Marumo Gallants FCOn these chances Durban City would usually take 2.3 points and Marumo Gallants FC 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Durban City.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Durban City vs Marumo Gallants FC stats: how the match was played
Premier League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Durban City had more than twice the shots on target
Durban City
Marumo Gallants FC
7
Shots on target
2
4
Big chances
0
4
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
3
59%
Possession
41%
Durban City vs Marumo Gallants FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Durban City to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,541 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,218 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.4% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Durban City 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Marumo Gallants FC 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Durban City vs Marumo Gallants FC 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Durban City vs Marumo Gallants FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Durban City1
Marumo Gallants FC0Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Durban City1Marumo Gallants FC0Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
| 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
23%
X-1
18%
2-2
13%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score