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Richards Bay vs Siwelele 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 16)

Fair result
Richards BayRichards Bay

1–1

SiweleleSiwelele
1.7Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Richards Bay would usually take 1.5 points and Siwelele 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: a draw.

Richards Bay −0.5 pts vs chancesSiwelele −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Richards Bay vs Siwelele stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Siwelele had clearly more shots on target

Richards Bay

Siwelele

3

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

3

3

Corners

9

1

Yellow cards

2

51%

Possession

50%

The match between Richards Bay and Siwelele ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Richards Bay win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Siwelele – Polokwane City prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Richards Bay vs Siwelele — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Richards Bay to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,439 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,131 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 89%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,229 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.4% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Richards Bay Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Richards Bay 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Siwelele Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Siwelele 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Richards Bay vs Siwelele 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Richards Bay vs Siwelele. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - South Africa
Richards BayRichards Bay1
SiweleleSiwelele1

Winner

1X 79%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

149%
X30%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%65%35%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Richards Bay28%72%63%37%
Siwelele49%51%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Richards Bay86%14%95%5%
Siwelele95%5%99%1%

1st Half

131%
X53%
216%

1st Score

157%
X14%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

24%

X-1

18%

2-2

9%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.9%

0-0

13.5%

1-1

12.6%

2-0

9.8%

0-1

9.0%

2-1

8.3%

1-2

4.7%

3-0

4.4%

3-1

3.4%

0-2

3.3%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Siwelele – Polokwane City prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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