Always on the scoresheet
0/10Rangers scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).
Rangers vs Kilmarnock Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Rangers vs Kilmarnock
3.4goals expected · Premiership average 2.8
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 76%
Rangers vs Kilmarnock score prediction
Premiership
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.4 goals expected
3.4 goals in total: more goals than a typical Premiership game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Rangers2.5
Kilmarnock0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Rangers vs Kilmarnock: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premiership
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rangers to win
Our model 66%Bookmakers 87%
Our track record
In 593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.0% of the time (bookmakers said 71.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 76%
Our track record
In 5,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 223 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 60–65%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rangers ahead at half-time
Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).
Rangers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rangers 2+ goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 3,372 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Kilmarnock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Kilmarnock 0–1 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 86%
Our track record
In 2,531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Rangers vs Kilmarnock. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Rangers–
Kilmarnock–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Rangers–Kilmarnock–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
165%
X19%
215%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 37% | 63% |
| 50% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 36% | 82% | 18% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
156%
X32%
213%
1st Score
172%
X4%
223%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
49%
X-1
19%
X-X
10%
2-2
6%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Rangers vs Kilmarnock: the stats that stand out
Premiership
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Rangers: always on the scoresheet and fast starters
0/10Fast starters
7/10Rangers scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Rangers vs Kilmarnock: attack vs defence
Premiership
How to read it
other Premiership teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Rangers: good attack, good defence (2.00 xG, 1.06 xGA a game)
- Kilmarnock: weak attack, weak defence (1.36 xG, 1.69 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Rangers vs Kilmarnock form and luck check
Premiership
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premiership gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- RangersBookmakers: 87% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−2.5
- KilmarnockBookmakers: 3% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+2.9
Last 5 matches
RangersW
W
W
W
W
KilmarnockD
W
D
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Rangers 2nd of 12 · Kilmarnock 12th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Rangers vs Kilmarnock: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premiership
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premiership gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Rangers games more often than the Premiership average (52%), in Kilmarnock games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Rangers5 of 10
Kilmarnock6 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Rangers6 of 10
Kilmarnock5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 227 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Rangers vs Kilmarnock corners, cards and goal times
Premiership
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Premiership average
Rangers
Kilmarnock
7.2
Corners won · league 5.1
4.5
4.3
Corners conceded · league 5.1
5.7
1.6
Cards · league 2.0
2.3
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.1
53%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
38%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
13%
64%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
53%
18%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Rangers3/5
Kilmarnock1/5
Both Teams to Score
Rangers1/5
Kilmarnock1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Rangers1/5
Kilmarnock1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Rangers5/5
Kilmarnock4/5
First Half Result
Rangers3/5
Kilmarnock1/5
Correct Score
Rangers0/5
Kilmarnock1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction