Premiership Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Premiership match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 11 October 2026.

Premiership Predictions by Market

Season 2026/2027 · Round 8 · 1st Phase

Full-Time Result

52%

Both Teams To Score

61%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

71%

First Half Result

29%

Correct Score

12%

Premiership 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 52%, BTTS 61%, Over/Under 2.5 55%, Over/Under 3.5 71%, correct score 12%.

Premiership stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 231 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Goals a match

2.79

23rd of 63

xG a match

2.84

26th of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

10.22

15th of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

4.07

36th of 63

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Premiership: the stats that stand out

The Premiership teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Banker as favourites
Celtic9/10

Celtic won 9 of 10 as favourites (league 53%).

Goal-fests
Hearts9/10

Hearts games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 55%).

Leaky
Hibernian0/10

Hibernian kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).

Always on the scoresheet
Rangers0/10

Rangers scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).

Rarely both score
Aberdeen3/10

Aberdeen: both teams scored in only 3 of their last 10 (league 52%).

Always chasing
St. Johnstone5/7

St. Johnstone conceded first in 5 of 7 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Slow starters
Kilmarnock3/10

Kilmarnock scored first in only 3 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Premiership Scotland

Free predictions for today's Premiership matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

· FT
MotherwellMotherwell0
CelticCeltic2

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

131%
X23%
246%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Motherwell32%68%63%37%
Celtic21%79%50%50%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT38%62%51%49%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

9.4%

2-1

7.7%

0-1

7.5%

2-2

6.6%

0-2

6.2%

· FT
AberdeenAberdeen0
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone–
Dundee UnitedDundee United–

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

KilmarnockKilmarnock–
MotherwellMotherwell–

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

HibernianHibernian–
FalkirkFalkirk–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

AberdeenAberdeen–
St. MirrenSt. Mirren–

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

DundeeDundee–
RangersRangers–

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

CelticCeltic–
HeartsHearts–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Premiership xG: chances created and allowed

Every Premiership team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsPremiership average · 1.52 xG, 1.51 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 12
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Premiership Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Premiership this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −30 odds expected+30 more ▶

Home wins

41.3%

Season (46) · 41.3% vs 45.4%Normal range
30 days (13) · 38.5% vs 48.2%Normal range

Draws

19.6%

Season (46) · 19.6% vs 23.2%Normal range
30 days (13) · 23.1% vs 23.2%Normal range

Away wins

39.1%

Season (46) · 39.1% vs 31.4%Normal range
30 days (13) · 38.5% vs 28.6%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

54.3%

Season (46) · 54.3% vs 57.9%Normal range
30 days (13) · 53.8% vs 58.2%Normal range

Both teams scored

52.2%

Season (46) · 52.2% vs 56.5%Normal range
30 days (13) · 53.8% vs 56.5%Normal range
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

19.6%

Season (46) · 19.6% vs 36.2%Fewer than expected
30 days (13) · 23.1% vs 36.4%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

37.0%

Season (46) · 37.0% vs 35.6%Normal range
30 days (13) · 46.2% vs 37.5%Normal range

Level at half-time

26.1%

Season (46) · 26.1% vs 38.4%Normal range
30 days (13) · 15.4% vs 38.2%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

37.0%

Season (46) · 37.0% vs 26.0%Normal range
30 days (13) · 38.5% vs 24.3%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

32.6%

Season (46) · 32.6% vs 48.9%Fewer than expected
30 days (13) · 30.8% vs 51.5%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

32.6%

Season (46) · 32.6% vs 37.5%Normal range
30 days (13) · 23.1% vs 35.8%Normal range

Outside the normal range this season: Over 3.5 goals 19.6% vs 36.2% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 55); Home team scored 2+ 32.6% vs 48.9% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 50).

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Premiership, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason4641.3%45.4%−4.1±13.3Normal range
Home wins30 days1338.5%48.2%−9.8±25.5Normal range
DrawsSeason4619.6%23.2%−3.7±12.1Normal range
Draws30 days1323.1%23.2%−0.1±22.8Normal range
Away winsSeason4639.1%31.4%+7.8±12.5Normal range
Away wins30 days1338.5%28.6%+9.9±23.4Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason4654.3%57.9%−3.6±14.1Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days1353.8%58.2%−4.4±26.6Normal range
Both teams scoredSeason4652.2%56.5%−4.4±14.3Normal range
Both teams scored30 days1353.8%56.5%−2.7±26.8Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason4619.6%36.2%−16.6±13.8Fewer than expected
Over 3.5 goals30 days1323.1%36.4%−13.4±26.0Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason4637.0%35.6%+1.3±13.3Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time30 days1346.2%37.5%+8.7±25.4Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason4626.1%38.4%−12.3±14.0Normal range
Level at half-time30 days1315.4%38.2%−22.8±26.3Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason4637.0%26.0%+11.0±12.3Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time30 days1338.5%24.3%+14.1±22.8Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season4632.6%48.9%−16.3±13.8Fewer than expected
Home team scored 2+30 days1330.8%51.5%−20.7±26.2Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season4632.6%37.5%−4.9±13.4Normal range
Away team scored 2+30 days1323.1%35.8%−12.7±25.2Normal range

Premiership luck check: the last 10 games

Premiership teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+6.0 = 6 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck2

  • Dundee
    Dundee
    +6.0
  • Celtic
    Celtic
    +5.4

Points in line, but wasteful: Rangers (−6 goals), Hibernian (−5), Dundee United (−5). Clinical: Hearts (+4).

In line with their chances: Aberdeen, St. Mirren, Kilmarnock, St. Johnstone, Motherwell and Falkirk.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Premiership last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.

How to read it

Oct 4–Oct 11 · 6 matches · odds: closing, margin removed

No smash-and-grab wins or upsets in these 6 matches.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Premiership Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
CelticCeltic
82170116:4+12
W
L
W
W
W
2
RangersRangers
81961111:5+6
W
W
W
W
W
3
HeartsHearts
81651219:8+11
W
D
L
W
W
4
DundeeDundee
81341311:8+3
W
W
L
D
L
5
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
81132310:100
W
D
L
W
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Premiership

The league profile compares Premiership with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

The Scottish Premiership is the top professional football league in Scotland. It consists of 12 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Scottish Championship. The Scottish Premiership is known for its competitive matches and historic rivalries. Celtic FC and Rangers FC are the most successful clubs in Scottish Premiership history.

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