Shot-shy
5/10Dundee United failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 27%).
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Wasteful
Dundee United are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Dundee United 32% to winSt. Johnstone 42%
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United score prediction
Premiership
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, in line with the Premiership average of 2.8.
goals expected
St. Johnstone1.5Dundee United1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for St. Johnstone vs Dundee United: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premiership
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
St. Johnstone to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 5,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 2,284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 38%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 1,967 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.4% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
St. Johnstone Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
St. Johnstone 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Dundee United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Dundee United 0–1 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,605 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for St. Johnstone vs Dundee United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
St. Johnstone–
Dundee United–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
St. Johnstone–Dundee United–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
141%
X25%
234%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
134%
X38%
227%
1st Score
152%
X5%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United: the stats that stand out
Premiership
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Dundee United: shot-shy · St. Johnstone: leaky and always chasing
5/10Leaky
0/7St. Johnstone kept no clean sheet in their last 7 (league 27%).
Always chasing
5/7St. Johnstone conceded first in 5 of their last 7 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →St. Johnstone vs Dundee United: attack vs defence
Premiership
How to read it
other Premiership teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- St. Johnstone: weak attack, weak defence (1.18 xG, 1.53 xGA a game)
- Dundee United: weak attack, weak defence (1.47 xG, 1.54 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →St. Johnstone vs Dundee United form and luck check
Premiership
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premiership gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- St. JohnstoneBookmakers: 42% to win today. · 7 of 10 games+0.1
- Dundee UnitedBookmakers: 32% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−3.0
Last 5 matches
Dundee UnitedW
D
L
W
L
St. JohnstoneD
L
W
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: St. Johnstone 8th of 12 · Dundee United 6th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →St. Johnstone vs Dundee United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premiership
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Premiership gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Dundee United games less often than the Premiership average (52%), in St. Johnstone games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
St. Johnstone3 of 7
Dundee United4 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
St. Johnstone5 of 7
Dundee United3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 227 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →St. Johnstone vs Dundee United corners, cards and goal times
Premiership
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSt. Johnstone: last 7 with these statsDundee United score early
St. Johnstone
Dundee United
3.4
Corners won · league 5.1
5.3
6.3
Corners conceded · league 5.1
6.6
1.7
Cards · league 2.0
2.5
0.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.0
33%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
80%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
20%
40%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
43%
10%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
7%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Dundee United2/5
St. Johnstone3/5
Both Teams to Score
Dundee United1/5
St. Johnstone3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Dundee United3/5
St. Johnstone0/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Dundee United4/5
St. Johnstone5/5
First Half Result
Dundee United0/5
St. Johnstone3/5
Correct Score
Dundee United1/5
St. Johnstone2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction