Flop as favourites
1/7Hibernian won only 1 of 7 as favourites (league 53%).
Hibernian vs Falkirk Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Flop as favourites
Hibernian won only 1 of 7 as favourites (league 53%).
1/7Wins as favourite · Hibernian
Bookmakers: Hibernian 56% to winFalkirk 21%
Hibernian vs Falkirk score prediction
Premiership
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Hibernian expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, a little under the Premiership average of 2.8.
goals expected
Hibernian1.7
Falkirk1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Hibernian vs Falkirk: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Hibernian vs Falkirk — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premiership
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Hibernian to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 4,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 1,155 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Hibernian Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Hibernian 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 971 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.
Falkirk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Falkirk 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Hibernian vs Falkirk — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Hibernian vs Falkirk. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Hibernian–
Falkirk–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Hibernian–Falkirk–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
143%
X26%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 34% | 66% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
135%
X40%
225%
1st Score
154%
X7%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Hibernian vs Falkirk: the stats that stand out
Premiership
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Hibernian: flop as favourites and leaky · Falkirk: slow starters
1/7Leaky
0/10Hibernian kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
Slow starters
3/10Falkirk scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Hibernian vs Falkirk: attack vs defence
Premiership
How to read it
other Premiership teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Hibernian: good attack, weak defence (1.54 xG, 1.59 xGA a game)
- Falkirk: weak attack, weak defence (1.00 xG, 1.64 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Hibernian vs Falkirk form and luck check
Premiership
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premiership gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- HibernianBookmakers: 56% to win today.−1.0
- FalkirkBookmakers: 21% to win today.−2.2
Last 5 matches
FalkirkD
W
D
L
L
HibernianD
L
L
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Hibernian 5th of 12 · Falkirk 9th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Hibernian vs Falkirk: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premiership
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premiership gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Hibernian and Falkirk games more often than the Premiership average (52%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Hibernian7 of 10
Falkirk6 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Hibernian8 of 10
Falkirk7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 227 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Hibernian vs Falkirk corners, cards and goal times
Premiership
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Premiership average
Hibernian
Falkirk
6.7
Corners won · league 5.1
5.1
5.7
Corners conceded · league 5.1
5.6
1.6
Cards · league 2.0
2.0
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.0
54%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
56%
15%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
0%
64%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
65%
21%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
30%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Hibernian1/5
Falkirk2/5
Both Teams to Score
Hibernian3/5
Falkirk5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Hibernian1/5
Falkirk3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Hibernian4/5
Falkirk5/5
First Half Result
Hibernian0/5
Falkirk4/5
Correct Score
Hibernian1/5
Falkirk3/5
correct predictionwrong prediction