Cerro Largo vs Albion 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Cerro Largo vs Albion stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Albion had more than twice the shots on target

Cerro Largo

Albion

0

Shots on target

5

5

Corners

4

4

Yellow cards

2

The match between Cerro Largo and Albion ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Cerro Largo win at 36% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cerro – Cerro Largo prediction & betting tips (Oct 16, 2026).

Cerro Largo vs Albion — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cerro Largo to win

Wrong
Our model 36%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 547 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,047 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,745 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.3% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Cerro Largo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cerro Largo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Albion 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,313 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cerro Largo vs Albion 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cerro Largo vs Albion. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Cerro LargoCerro Largo0
AlbionAlbion1

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

136%
X30%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Cerro Largo34%66%70%30%
Albion36%64%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Cerro Largo90%10%97%3%
Albion91%9%98%2%

1st Half

131%
X48%
221%

1st Score

149%
X12%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

21%

2-2

16%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.8%

1-0

12.3%

0-1

11.7%

0-0

11.7%

2-1

8.1%

1-2

7.6%

2-0

6.7%

0-2

5.8%

2-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Cerro Largo vs Albion — Recent Form

Albion have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Cerro Largo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

AlbionAlbion
W
W
L
L
L
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
L
L
L
L
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
4/5
AlbionAlbion
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
3/5
AlbionAlbion
1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
3/5
AlbionAlbion
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
5/5
AlbionAlbion
2/5

First Half Result

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1/5
AlbionAlbion
0/5

Correct Score

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
0/5
AlbionAlbion
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cerro – Cerro Largo prediction & betting tips (Oct 16, 2026).

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